By Sohail Parwaz
As I have already shared a chapter about the Indians playing
foolish by going for a surgical strike in a haste thus getting an international
embarrassment, now I am sharing chapter seventeen of my book ‘The Cornered
Rogue” which is clearly predicting the birth of CPEC, the Iranian interest to
join Pak China Block and Indians long for a limited strike inside Pakistan.
Although the Indians have lost the most essential element of surprise but like
a wounded snake they have still not given up the idea of launching a couple of
local attacks inside Pakistan. Their only headache is that they don’t have a
surety that Pakistan will keep it local and restricted.
The Indians have bagged a big embarrassment and humiliation
because they were all set to teach a lesson to Pakistan and even Mr. Modi
bragged to isolate Pakistan but on ground the situation is different; Iran
showing interest to join CPEC, Russia is carrying out exercises with Pakistan
army, CPEC is almost being finalised with the help of China while Turkey has
thrown full weight behind Pakistan and amidst this one is failed to find ‘Isolation’
in the near and far distances. India is desperate and that’s known to all. She
is expected to commit a blunder like a wounded snake as said earlier. Please
read the following paragraphs from my fiction work in the above mentioned
scenario.
“The Chinese invited Pakistani and Iranian prime ministers
for dialogues on regional mutual interest. Outcome of this summit was quite
fruitful for all the participants. As a first step, Pakistan was asked to
construct the Gwadar-Turbat Highway which was to be linked to Chabahar-Zahedan
Highway in Iran. At the same time already existing Gwadar coastal highway was
to be expanded to link Karachi, Gwadar and Chabahar port of Iran. Chinese
agreed to finance the project, certainly for their prime interest. Their dream to
have an excess to the Central Asian Republics’ healthy markets was slowly
coming true. Pakistan and China agreed to stand by Iranians in case of economic
sanctions loomed by the Americans. Everyone seemed to be happy and contended
except for Indians, who were told by Iranians about having a limited way in to
the Chabahar seaport now.
The Americans protested to Chinese for sponsoring such
ideas, which the Chinese bluntly turned down by saying that main regional
players of the game have rights to watch their interest. America as an outsider
has no right to object upon. Not only this, China warned the Americans not to
push Pakistan against the wall. The Americans, however, realised the economical
disaster back home that compelled them to wind up their bases, fleets in phases
from all over the world including from the Persian Gulf. They didn’t pursue
their protest but did keep the bitterness pending for some other appropriate
time. Their main interest was to have a safe exit from Afghanistan. Rest
happening in the region was of secondary importance to them for now. With
Pakistan, India always had tense bilateral relations but now she was not happy
with Iranians too – certainly for latter’s tainted attitude – without realising
that; they asked for it themselves when they didn’t play some fair games with
the Iranians. Deep grudge, vendetta against Pakistan was growing with every
coming day.
The DGMI Pakistan Army had some very breath taking
information available at his table. Neither it was hearsay nor some gossip. It
was pure HUMINT information gathered through credible sources, corroborated by
troops deployed on international border as well as the LOC. Major General
Faisal, the Director General Military Intelligence wanted to be hundred percent
sure about the authenticity of this information before reporting his commander,
the Army Chief, General Muhammad Khalid. When he consulted his colleague DGMO,
General Khurram Naeem on the issue, latter too had same sort of reports. The
matter was quite serious as the intelligence agencies had picked some mass
movement of the Indian troops towards the border areas in a few sectors. Some
heavy concentration was seen in the South, in Rajasthan, up in the North in
Kashmir. Now the DGMO had no reason not to talk to his counterpart in India on
hotline. It was responded by General Ashoke, ‘Hello General! A pleasant
surprise to hear from you after quite some time! I am sure all is well?’ ‘It
was a surprise for us as well when the Indian troops were noted moving
unannounced so close to the border at more than one location’ Khurram without
much ado came to the point.
For a moment there was silence at the other end then came,
not a very firm reply, ‘Actually General we are concentrating in Thar Desert
near Bikaner for routine exercises that’s the only location where you could see
us crowding.’ ‘Routine exercises? Though it’s entirely your command’s
prerogative but frankly speaking this is not the part of the year when you
people carry out routine exercises? Besides that, dumping of matching logistic
reserves has been noted in the built up areas. Well that carries a big question
mark General? That’s one thing, then there is yet another worrying issue’
General Khurram paused for a moment, then continued, ‘We have a mutual
agreement that whenever any one of us would move so close to the international
borders the other party would be informed about reasons or intentions in
advance, if I am not wrong.’
Ashoke laughed faintly as if he was enjoying Khurram’s lost
sleep, ‘But we aren’t near the international borders General.’ ‘You mean coming
miles ahead of Bikaner in Desert, from where even vehicles tactical numbers are
readable, can’t be termed as coming close to International borders, General?’
‘Well if that’s so then I am informing you now that we intend carrying out our
joint forces exercises’ Ashoke took an abrupt U turn to avoid any further cross
questioning but the Pakistani DGMO had a lot more in his bag to shoot and he
was in no mood to let him go like that. ‘That you are doing now, I am afraid, a
bit late General Ashoke? So much so was for Thar sector but what about your assembling
and movement in Kashmir sector? A mass scale movement has been observed on
Jammu-Leh Road besides concentration at Drass, Kargil and Batalik’ General
Khurram said in a plain voice. ‘Well that is a preemptive to counter any 1999
like Kargil adventure in future’ Ashoke came back with sarcasm. ‘But do you
find some wingding, opposite to you, across the LOC now?’ enquired General
Khurram with equal travesty and after giving a pause of few seconds he
continued, ‘so we reserve the right to cater for these unusual and abnormal
built ups?’ ‘As you wish’ Ashoke, having no other suitable, diplomatic term
available, said helplessly. ‘General! I am sure that soon we will exchange
details about the deployment all along the international border and at the LOC,
if we are interested in keeping mutual trust intact ….. Have a good day
General’ Khurram summed up and put down the phone.
Things were quite serious, needed an immediate attention.
The talk about Indian Cold Start strategy, over heard by Gulsher few months
back during a reception at Delhi was in the air among GHQ circles. The worried
General thought for a while and then gave a buzz to the concerned director,
asked him to prepare a brief about the Indian build ups on Eastern border,
ASAP. Within 24 hours the Army Chief was informed through the CGS who
immediately asked for a briefing at MO Directorate as early as possible since
General Khalid wanted to brief the Supreme Commander of the Forces (The
President) not before he himself was absolutely sure about the Indian
intentions or future adventure plans if any”.
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